NFL Week 4 2026 Projections vs Results
The full Week 4 board, kept for the record: our projected passing, rushing, and receiving yards next to the final book line and what each player actually did.
Archived. Projections for Week 4, kept for reference.
Projections updated October 4, 2026.
Passing yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | GB | 267 | 237.5 | not recorded |
| Matthew Stafford | LA | 259 | 248.5 | not recorded |
| Jared Goff | DET | 256 | 257.5 | not recorded |
| Daniel Jones | IND | 251 | 219.5 | not recorded |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | 250 | 268.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Shough | NO | 250 | 254.5 | not recorded |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 248 | 265.5 | not recorded |
| Joe Burrow | CIN | 245 | 268.5 | not recorded |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 244 | 258 | not recorded |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 244 | 246.5 | not recorded |
| Marcus Mariota | WAS | 242 | 204.5 | not recorded |
| Carson Wentz | MIN | 240 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 234 | 231.5 | not recorded |
| Drake Maye | NE | 233 | 231.5 | not recorded |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 232 | 223 | not recorded |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | 229 | 216.5 | not recorded |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 226.5 | 235.5 | not recorded |
| Jameis Winston | NYG | 219 | 208.5 | not recorded |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | 219 | 236.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 216 | 242.5 | not recorded |
| Bryce Young | CAR | 216 | 243.5 | not recorded |
| Geno Smith | NYJ | 215 | 227.5 | not recorded |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | 209 | 199.5 | not recorded |
| Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 202 | 224.5 | not recorded |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | 200 | 186 | not recorded |
| Kirk Cousins | LV | 199 | 222.5 | not recorded |
| Cam Ward | TEN | 195 | 186.5 | not recorded |
| Tyson Bagent | CHI | 172 | 200.5 | not recorded |
| Jalon Daniels | TB | 162 | 169.5 | not recorded |
| Deshaun Watson | CLE | 159 | 256.5 | not recorded |
| Malik Willis | MIA | 147 | 169.5 | not recorded |
| Drew Lock | SEA | 139 | none posted | not recorded |
Rushing yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 96 | 91.5 | not recorded |
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 94 | 97.5 | not recorded |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 92 | 97 | not recorded |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | 87 | 86.5 | not recorded |
| James Cook | BUF | 76 | 87 | not recorded |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 72 | 63.5 | not recorded |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 72 | 86.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 69 | 84 | not recorded |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | 63 | 66 | not recorded |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | 62 | 67.5 | not recorded |
| Cam Skattebo | NYG | 59 | 62.5 | not recorded |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 57 | 59.5 | not recorded |
| Kyren Williams | LA | 57 | 59.5 | not recorded |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 56 | 59.5 | not recorded |
| Braelon Allen | NYJ | 55 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 54 | 66.5 | not recorded |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 53 | 60.5 | not recorded |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 52 | 60.5 | not recorded |
| Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 51 | 43.5 | not recorded |
| David Montgomery | HOU | 50 | 44.5 | not recorded |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 49 | 57.5 | not recorded |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 47 | 65.5 | not recorded |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | 46 | 47.5 | not recorded |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 45 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 45 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | 44 | 45.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Monangai | CHI | 43 | 39.5 | not recorded |
| Blake Corum | LA | 43 | 39.5 | not recorded |
| Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 43 | 49.5 | not recorded |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 38 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Justin Fields | KC | 37 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kimani Vidal | LAC | 37 | none posted | not recorded |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | 37 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 36 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | 32 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| George Holani | SEA | 32 | 35.5 | not recorded |
| Kaleb Johnson | GB | 31 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Wright | MIA | 30.5 | 28 | not recorded |
| Tyler Goodson | DAL | 30 | none posted | not recorded |
| Woody Marks | HOU | 30 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 29 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Brian Robinson | ATL | 29 | 29.5 | not recorded |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 28 | 25 | not recorded |
| Malik Willis | MIA | 27 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| DeeJay Dallas | MIN | 27 | none posted | not recorded |
| Drake Maye | NE | 25 | 27 | not recorded |
| Marcus Mariota | WAS | 24 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | 24 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | 23 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Kendre Miller | NO | 23 | 25.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 21 | 21 | not recorded |
| Bam Knight | ARI | 21 | none posted | not recorded |
| Najee Harris | NYG | 21 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 21 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | 21 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 20 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 19 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 17 | 18 | not recorded |
| Justice Hill | BAL | 16 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 15 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Mike Washington Jr. | LV | 15 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Emmett Johnson | KC | 14 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Kaelon Black | SF | 14 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Tyjae Spears | TEN | 12 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Kenny Gainwell | TB | 12 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 12 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Kaytron Allen | WAS | 11 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| AJ Dillon | CAR | 11 | 13 | not recorded |
| Samaje Perine | CIN | 10 | 14 | not recorded |
| Sione Vaki | DET | 10 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Travis Homer | PIT | 9 | -0.5 | not recorded |
| Tank Bigsby | PHI | 7 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Seth McGowan | IND | 6 | 6.5 | not recorded |
| Ty Johnson | BUF | 3 | 4.5 | not recorded |
| Raheim Sanders | CLE | 2 | 2.5 | not recorded |
Receiving yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | HOU | 91 | 73.5 | not recorded |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 86 | 92.5 | not recorded |
| Christian Watson | GB | 83 | 64.5 | not recorded |
| Parker Washington | JAX | 80 | 76.5 | not recorded |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 76 | 71.5 | not recorded |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 71 | 78 | not recorded |
| Puka Nacua | LA | 70 | 66.5 | not recorded |
| KC Concepcion | CLE | 68 | 72.5 | not recorded |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 67 | 75.5 | not recorded |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 67 | 76.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 66 | 57.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Olave | NO | 66 | 85 | not recorded |
| Stefon Diggs | WAS | 65 | 56.5 | not recorded |
| Michael Wilson | ARI | 64 | 57.5 | not recorded |
| Malik Nabers | NYG | 64 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Drake London | ATL | 64 | 78.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Downs | IND | 62 | 71.5 | not recorded |
| Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 61 | 84 | not recorded |
| Brock Bowers | LV | 60 | 73.5 | not recorded |
| Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 60 | 70.5 | not recorded |
| Carnell Tate | TEN | 59 | 44 | not recorded |
| Tee Higgins | CIN | 58 | 62.5 | not recorded |
| Trey McBride | ARI | 58 | 63.5 | not recorded |
| Matthew Golden | GB | 58 | 56.5 | not recorded |
| Jordan Addison | MIN | 58 | 63 | not recorded |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 57 | 55 | not recorded |
| George Pickens | DAL | 57 | 68.5 | not recorded |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | 56 | 46.5 | not recorded |
| Tucker Kraft | GB | 56 | 41 | not recorded |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 55 | 48.5 | not recorded |
| Jameson Williams | DET | 55 | 50 | not recorded |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | 54 | 48.5 | not recorded |
| Denzel Boston | CLE | 53 | 89 | not recorded |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 50 | 47.5 | not recorded |
| Emeka Egbuka | TB | 48 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | 48 | 38.5 | not recorded |
| Jalen Coker | CAR | 48 | 48.5 | not recorded |
| Davante Adams | LA | 47 | 66.5 | not recorded |
| Kayshon Boutte | HOU | 44 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Dalton Schultz | HOU | 44 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| Travis Kelce | KC | 43 | 47.5 | not recorded |
| Devaughn Vele | NO | 43 | 44.5 | not recorded |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 42 | 56 | not recorded |
| George Kittle | SF | 42 | 64.5 | not recorded |
| Kenyon Sadiq | NYJ | 41 | 42.5 | not recorded |
| Colston Loveland | CHI | 41 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Quentin Johnston | LAC | 41 | 35.5 | not recorded |
| Roman Wilson | PIT | 40 | 75 | not recorded |
| Brenton Strange | JAX | 40 | 36 | not recorded |
| Makai Lemon | PHI | 40 | 36 | not recorded |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | 40 | 39.5 | not recorded |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 39 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| DJ Moore | BUF | 39 | 50 | not recorded |
| Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 39 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| Kalif Raymond | CHI | 38 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Mike Evans | SF | 38 | none posted | not recorded |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF | 38 | none posted | not recorded |
| Darren Waller | CAR | 38 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Likely | NYG | 37 | 41.5 | not recorded |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | 37 | 34 | not recorded |
| Juwan Johnson | NO | 37 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 36 | 29.5 | not recorded |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | 36 | 39.5 | not recorded |
| Hunter Henry | NE | 36 | 31 | not recorded |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 36 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Tre Tucker | LV | 36 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Darnell Washington | PIT | 35 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 35 | 29.5 | not recorded |
| Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | 35 | 54.5 | not recorded |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 35 | 41 | not recorded |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 34 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Devontez Walker | BAL | 34 | none posted | not recorded |
| Mack Hollins | NE | 34 | 43.5 | not recorded |
| T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 34 | 38 | not recorded |
| Rome Odunze | CHI | 33 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Ryan Flournoy | DAL | 33 | 33.5 | not recorded |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 33 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Ladd McConkey | LAC | 33 | 47.5 | not recorded |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 33 | 35.5 | not recorded |
| Antonio Williams | WAS | 32 | 25.5 | not recorded |
| Mark Andrews | BAL | 32 | 38 | not recorded |
| Xavier Hutchinson | HOU | 32 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Kendrick Bourne | ARI | 31 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Tre Harris | LAC | 31 | 36.5 | not recorded |
| Pat Bryant | DEN | 31 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 30.5 | 35.5 | not recorded |
| Michael Pittman | PIT | 29 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 29 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Rashod Bateman | BAL | 29 | 26 | not recorded |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | 29 | 36.5 | not recorded |
| DeMario Douglas | NE | 28 | 28 | not recorded |
| Dohnte Meyers | CIN | 28 | 21 | not recorded |
| Tyquan Thornton | KC | 27 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 27 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| AJ Barner | SEA | 27 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 27 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| Greg Dulcich | MIA | 26 | 29.5 | not recorded |
| Jauan Jennings | MIN | 26 | 27 | not recorded |
| Calvin Ridley | TEN | 25 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | TB | 25 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | NO | 25 | none posted | not recorded |
| Evan Engram | DEN | 24 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Cade Otton | TB | 23 | 25.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Pitts | ATL | 23 | 28.5 | not recorded |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 22 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Malik Washington | MIA | 22 | 38.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Bell | MIA | 22 | 34 | not recorded |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | 22 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Rashid Shaheed | SEA | 22 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Jake Ferguson | DAL | 21 | 24.5 | not recorded |
| Cam Skattebo | NYG | 21 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 21 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Chimere Dike | TEN | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| Gunnar Helm | TEN | 20 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 20 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 20 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 20 | 21 | not recorded |
| Michael Mayer | LV | 20 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 19 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| KaVontae Turpin | DAL | 19 | none posted | not recorded |
| Skyy Moore | GB | 19 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Kaleb Johnson | GB | 19 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jalen Nailor | LV | 19 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 19 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Isaac TeSlaa | DET | 19 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Treylon Burks | WAS | 18 | 18 | not recorded |
| Daniel Bellinger | TEN | 18 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 18 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Cameron | JAX | 18 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Darnell Mooney | NYG | 18 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Darius Cooper | PHI | 18 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Brandin Cooks | SF | 18 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jahan Dotson | ATL | 18 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Laquon Treadwell | IND | 17 | 24.5 | not recorded |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | 17 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Elic Ayomanor | TEN | 17 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Williams | NYJ | 17 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Mike Gesicki | CIN | 17 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Malachi Fields | NYG | 17 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Higbee | LA | 17 | none posted | not recorded |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 17 | none posted | not recorded |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 17 | 19 | not recorded |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | 17 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | 16 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Theo Johnson | NYG | 16 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Kyren Williams | LA | 16 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Ted Hurst III | TB | 16 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Tai Felton | MIN | 16 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Austin Hooper | ATL | 16 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Johnny Mundt | PHI | 15 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Tez Johnson | TB | 15 | 10 | not recorded |
| Cody White | LV | 15 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Conklin | DET | 15 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyjae Spears | TEN | 14 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 14 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Dawson Knox | BUF | 14 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Cole Kmet | CHI | 14 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylin Noel | HOU | 14 | 12 | not recorded |
| Ty Johnson | BUF | 13 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | MIA | 13 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Tory Horton | SEA | 13 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Justice Hill | BAL | 12 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Keon Coleman | BUF | 12 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 12 | 9 | not recorded |
| Foster Moreau | HOU | 12 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| David Montgomery | HOU | 12 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Tommy Tremble | CAR | 12 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Germie Bernard | PIT | 11 | 0.5 | not recorded |
| James Cook | BUF | 11 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Woody Marks | HOU | 11 | 10 | not recorded |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 11 | 6.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Juszczyk | SF | 11 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Noah Fant | NO | 11 | 17 | not recorded |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 10 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 10 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Noah Gray | KC | 10 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | ATL | 10 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | 9 | 9 | not recorded |
| Braelon Allen | NYJ | 9 | 12 | not recorded |
| Drew Sample | CIN | 9 | 7 | not recorded |
| Jonnu Smith | GB | 9 | 6 | not recorded |
| Kenny Gainwell | TB | 9 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Wright | MIA | 9 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Emmett Johnson | KC | 9 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 8 | 13 | not recorded |
| Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 8 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| George Holani | SEA | 8 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Raheim Sanders | CLE | 7 | 0.5 | not recorded |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 7 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Samaje Perine | CIN | 7 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 7 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | 7 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Troy Franklin | DEN | 6 | 5 | not recorded |
| Adam Trautman | DEN | 3 | 5 | not recorded |
| Blake Whiteheart | CLE | 2 | 0.5 | not recorded |
| Brock Wright | DET | 2 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 0 | 0.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Williams | NE | 0 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Monangai | CHI | 0 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Travis Hunter | JAX | 0 | 4.5 | not recorded |
| Elijah Higgins | ARI | 0 | 4 | not recorded |
| Ryan Miller | MIA | 0 | 4.5 | not recorded |
| Cooper Kupp | SEA | 0 | 24 | not recorded |