Opening Line AnalyticsNFL

Denzel Boston Props & Projections

WR · CLE · Week 4 vs PIT

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4624 - 7389under
Receptions42 - 54.5-
Anytime touchdown15.1%probability14.3%book implied

We project Denzel Boston for 46 receiving yards against PIT, below the 89 book line. The likely range runs 24 to 73; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CARReceiving yards3728.541over
Wk 3CARReceptions31.52over
Wk 2TBReceiving yards3130.595over
Wk 2TBReceptions22.55over
Wk 1JAXReceiving yards232559over
Wk 1JAXReceptions22.5--

Common questions

What is Denzel Boston's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Denzel Boston a 15.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against PIT. The books price it near 14.3%.
What is Denzel Boston's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Denzel Boston for 46 receiving yards (likely range 24 to 73), against a book line of 89.
How often has Denzel Boston gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Denzel Boston has finished over the book line 5 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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