Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Props & Projections

WR · BUF · Week 4 vs NE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3217 - 5038.5-
Receptions42 - 53.5-
Anytime touchdown22%probability29.9%book implied

We project Khalil Shakir for 32 receiving yards against NE, below the 38.5 book line. The likely range runs 17 to 50; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LACReceiving yards326.56under
Wk 3LACReceptions41.51under
Wk 2DETReceiving yards414438under
Wk 2DETReceptions44.53under
Wk 1HOUReceiving yards3635.550over
Wk 1HOUReceptions43.5--

Common questions

What is Khalil Shakir's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Khalil Shakir a 22% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 29.9%.
What is Khalil Shakir's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Khalil Shakir for 32 receiving yards (likely range 17 to 50), against a book line of 38.5.
How often has Khalil Shakir gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Khalil Shakir has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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