Tony Pollard Props & Projections
RB · TEN · Week 4 vs BAL
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 54 | 34 - 81 | 47.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | - | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 25.9% | probability | 33.3% | book implied |
We project Tony Pollard for 54 rushing yards against BAL, above the 47.5 book line. The likely range runs 34 to 81; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NYG | Rushing yards | 65 | 68.5 | 74 | over |
| Wk 3 | NYG | Receiving yards | 7 | 7.5 | 22 | over |
| Wk 3 | NYG | Receptions | 1 | 3.5 | 4 | over |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Rushing yards | 39 | 44.5 | 64 | over |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Receiving yards | 8 | - | 1 | - |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Receptions | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Rushing yards | 63 | 48.5 | 35 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Receiving yards | 9 | 9.5 | -1 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Receptions | 2 | 1.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Tony Pollard's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Tony Pollard a 25.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BAL. The books price it near 33.3%.
- What is Tony Pollard's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Tony Pollard for 54 rushing yards (likely range 34 to 81), against a book line of 47.5.
- How often has Tony Pollard gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tony Pollard has finished over the book line 4 of 7 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.