Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Props & Projections

QB · PIT · Week 4 vs CLE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards186129 - 245265.5under

We project Aaron Rodgers for 186 passing yards against CLE, below the 265.5 book line. The likely range runs 129 to 245; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CINPassing yards214276292over
Wk 2NEPassing yards194207.5187under
Wk 1ATLPassing yards204212.5221over

Common questions

What is Aaron Rodgers's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Aaron Rodgers for 186 passing yards (likely range 129 to 245), against a book line of 265.5.
How often has Aaron Rodgers gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Aaron Rodgers has finished over the book line 2 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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