Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Cam Ward

Cam Ward Props & Projections

QB · TEN · Week 4 vs BAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards197135 - 258185.5-

We project Cam Ward for 197 passing yards against BAL, above the 185.5 book line. The likely range runs 135 to 258; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NYGPassing yards184148.5181over
Wk 2PHIPassing yards170188.5183under
Wk 1NYJPassing yards180201.5140under

Common questions

What is Cam Ward's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Cam Ward for 197 passing yards (likely range 135 to 258), against a book line of 185.5.
How often has Cam Ward gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Cam Ward has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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