Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland Props & Projections

TE · CHI · Week 4 vs NYJ

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3216 - 5133.5-
Receptions32 - 43.5-
Anytime touchdown30.3%probability28.6%book implied

We project Colston Loveland for 32 receiving yards against NYJ, below the 33.5 book line. The likely range runs 16 to 51; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3PHIReceiving yards373331under
Wk 3PHIReceptions33.54over
Wk 2MINReceiving yards4146.53under
Wk 2MINReceptions44.51under
Wk 1CARReceiving yards5154.50under
Wk 1CARReceptions54.5--

Common questions

What is Colston Loveland's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Colston Loveland a 30.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYJ. The books price it near 28.6%.
What is Colston Loveland's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Colston Loveland for 32 receiving yards (likely range 16 to 51), against a book line of 33.5.
How often has Colston Loveland gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Colston Loveland has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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