Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Props & Projections

TE · NE · Week 4 vs BUF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3014 - 4931.5-
Receptions32 - 43.5-
Anytime touchdown39.6%probability28.2%book implied

We project Hunter Henry for 30 receiving yards against BUF, below the 31.5 book line. The likely range runs 14 to 49; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3JAXReceiving yards5241.55under
Wk 3JAXReceptions43.51under
Wk 2PITReceiving yards3838.540over
Wk 2PITReceptions33.53under
Wk 1SEAReceiving yards31-26-
Wk 1SEAReceptions3---

Common questions

What is Hunter Henry's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Hunter Henry a 39.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 28.2%.
What is Hunter Henry's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Hunter Henry for 30 receiving yards (likely range 14 to 49), against a book line of 31.5.
How often has Hunter Henry gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Hunter Henry has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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