Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Xavier Hutchinson

Xavier Hutchinson Props & Projections

WR · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2814 - 4529.5-
Receptions21 - 32.5-
Anytime touchdown18.1%probability21.3%book implied

We project Xavier Hutchinson for 28 receiving yards against DAL, below the 29.5 book line. The likely range runs 14 to 45; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3INDReceiving yards2434.551over
Wk 3INDReceptions22.53over
Wk 2CINReceiving yards24-37-
Wk 2CINReceptions2-3-
Wk 1BUFReceiving yards1617.532over
Wk 1BUFReceptions21.5--

Common questions

What is Xavier Hutchinson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Xavier Hutchinson a 18.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DAL. The books price it near 21.3%.
What is Xavier Hutchinson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Xavier Hutchinson for 28 receiving yards (likely range 14 to 45), against a book line of 29.5.
How often has Xavier Hutchinson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Xavier Hutchinson has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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