Luther Burden III Props & Projections
WR · CHI · Week 4 vs NYJ
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 38 | 20 - 60 | 45.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 9.6% | probability | 32.3% | book implied |
We project Luther Burden III for 38 receiving yards against NYJ, below the 45.5 book line. The likely range runs 20 to 60; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Luther Burden III's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Luther Burden III a 9.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYJ. The books price it near 32.3%.
- What is Luther Burden III's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Luther Burden III for 38 receiving yards (likely range 20 to 60), against a book line of 45.5.
- How often has Luther Burden III gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Luther Burden III has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.