Opening Line AnalyticsNFL

Deshaun Watson Props & Projections

QB · CLE · Week 4 vs PIT

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards171118 - 226256.5under

We project Deshaun Watson for 171 passing yards against PIT, below the 256.5 book line. The likely range runs 118 to 226; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CARPassing yards153126144over
Wk 2TBPassing yards168175.5238over
Wk 1JAXPassing yards159177.5205over

Common questions

What is Deshaun Watson's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Deshaun Watson for 171 passing yards (likely range 118 to 226), against a book line of 256.5.
How often has Deshaun Watson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Deshaun Watson has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring