Brian Thomas Jr. Props & Projections
WR · JAX · Week 4 vs CIN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 41 | 19 - 67 | 29 | over |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 18% | probability | 25% | book implied |
We project Brian Thomas Jr. for 41 receiving yards against CIN, above the 29 book line. The likely range runs 19 to 67; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Brian Thomas Jr. a 18% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CIN. The books price it near 25%.
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Brian Thomas Jr. for 41 receiving yards (likely range 19 to 67), against a book line of 29.
- How often has Brian Thomas Jr. gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Brian Thomas Jr. has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.