Rhamondre Stevenson Props & Projections
RB · NE · Week 4 vs BUF
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 84 | 53 - 120 | 31.5 | over |
| Receiving yards | 20 | 10 - 32 | 18.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 73% | probability | 41.7% | book implied |
We project Rhamondre Stevenson for 84 rushing yards against BUF, above the 31.5 book line. The likely range runs 53 to 120; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | JAX | Rushing yards | 26 | 34.5 | 22 | under |
| Wk 3 | JAX | Receiving yards | 16 | 14.5 | 16 | over |
| Wk 3 | JAX | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | over |
| Wk 2 | PIT | Rushing yards | 42 | 49.5 | 43 | under |
| Wk 2 | PIT | Receiving yards | 16 | 17.5 | 3 | under |
| Wk 2 | PIT | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | under |
| Wk 1 | SEA | Rushing yards | 68 | - | 51 | - |
| Wk 1 | SEA | Receiving yards | 21 | - | 44 | - |
| Wk 1 | SEA | Receptions | 2 | - | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Rhamondre Stevenson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Rhamondre Stevenson a 73% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 41.7%.
- What is Rhamondre Stevenson's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Rhamondre Stevenson for 84 rushing yards (likely range 53 to 120), against a book line of 31.5.
- How often has Rhamondre Stevenson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Rhamondre Stevenson has finished over the book line 2 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.