Malik Willis Props & Projections
QB · MIA · Week 4 vs MIN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 111 | 99 - 125 | 168.5 | under |
| Rushing yards | 27 | 18 - 38 | 28.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 34.6% | probability | 19.2% | book implied |
We project Malik Willis for 111 passing yards against MIN, below the 168.5 book line. The likely range runs 99 to 125; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Malik Willis's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Malik Willis a 34.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIN. The books price it near 19.2%.
- What is Malik Willis's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Malik Willis for 111 passing yards (likely range 99 to 125), against a book line of 168.5.
- How often has Malik Willis gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Malik Willis has finished over the book line 3 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.