Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy Props & Projections

WR · KC · Week 4 vs LV

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3517 - 5833.5-
Receptions32 - 53.5-
Anytime touchdown15.5%probability30.3%book implied

We project Xavier Worthy for 35 receiving yards against LV, above the 33.5 book line. The likely range runs 17 to 58; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MIAReceiving yards4538.520under
Wk 3MIAReceptions42.52under
Wk 2INDReceiving yards5337.525under
Wk 2INDReceptions43.55over
Wk 1DENReceiving yards3935.518under
Wk 1DENReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Xavier Worthy's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Xavier Worthy a 15.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 30.3%.
What is Xavier Worthy's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Xavier Worthy for 35 receiving yards (likely range 17 to 58), against a book line of 33.5.
How often has Xavier Worthy gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Xavier Worthy has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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