Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Props & Projections

TE · BAL · Week 4 vs TEN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2412 - 3937under
Receptions32 - 43.5-
Anytime touchdown30.2%probability40%book implied

We project Mark Andrews for 24 receiving yards against TEN, below the 37 book line. The likely range runs 12 to 39; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3DALReceiving yards414324under
Wk 3DALReceptions54.53under
Wk 2NOReceiving yards19-49-
Wk 2NOReceptions2-6-
Wk 1INDReceiving yards2735.549over
Wk 1INDReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Mark Andrews's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Mark Andrews a 30.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TEN. The books price it near 40%.
What is Mark Andrews's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Mark Andrews for 24 receiving yards (likely range 12 to 39), against a book line of 37.
How often has Mark Andrews gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Mark Andrews has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring