Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Kaleb Johnson

Kaleb Johnson Props & Projections

RB · GB · Week 4 vs TB

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards5735 - 8630.5over
Receptions21 - 3--
Anytime touchdown26.9%probability32.3%book implied

We project Kaleb Johnson for 57 rushing yards against TB, above the 30.5 book line. The likely range runs 35 to 86; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3ATLRushing yards1921.56under
Wk 3ATLReceptions2-1-

Common questions

What is Kaleb Johnson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Kaleb Johnson a 26.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 32.3%.
What is Kaleb Johnson's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Kaleb Johnson for 57 rushing yards (likely range 35 to 86), against a book line of 30.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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