Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Props & Projections

WR · DET · Week 4 vs CAR

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards7039 - 11077.5-
Receptions64 - 97.5-
Anytime touchdown56.9%probability55.6%book implied

We project Amon-Ra St. Brown for 70 receiving yards against CAR, below the 77.5 book line. The likely range runs 39 to 110; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NYJReceiving yards7319.519under
Wk 3NYJReceptions74.54under
Wk 2BUFReceiving yards5679.5142over
Wk 2BUFReceptions67.59over
Wk 1NOReceiving yards6377.567under
Wk 1NOReceptions66.5--

Common questions

What is Amon-Ra St. Brown's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Amon-Ra St. Brown a 56.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CAR. The books price it near 55.6%.
What is Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Amon-Ra St. Brown for 70 receiving yards (likely range 39 to 110), against a book line of 77.5.
How often has Amon-Ra St. Brown gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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