Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Props & Projections

RB · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards8051 - 11559.5over
Anytime touchdown50.4%probability45.5%book implied

We project J.K. Dobbins for 80 rushing yards against SF, above the 59.5 book line. The likely range runs 51 to 115; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LARushing yards4250.549under
Wk 2JAXRushing yards4560.536under
Wk 1KCRushing yards404936under
Wk 1KCReceiving yards34.50under

Common questions

What is J.K. Dobbins's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give J.K. Dobbins a 50.4% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SF. The books price it near 45.5%.
What is J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project J.K. Dobbins for 80 rushing yards (likely range 51 to 115), against a book line of 59.5.
How often has J.K. Dobbins gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, J.K. Dobbins has finished over the book line 0 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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