Michael Mayer Props & Projections
TE · LV · Week 4 vs KC
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 20 | 10 - 33 | 21.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 4 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 9.8% | probability | 19.2% | book implied |
We project Michael Mayer for 20 receiving yards against KC, below the 21.5 book line. The likely range runs 10 to 33; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Michael Mayer's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Michael Mayer a 9.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against KC. The books price it near 19.2%.
- What is Michael Mayer's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Michael Mayer for 20 receiving yards (likely range 10 to 33), against a book line of 21.5.
- How often has Michael Mayer gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Michael Mayer has finished over the book line 2 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.