Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston Props & Projections

WR · LAC · Week 4 vs SEA

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4523 - 7333.5over
Receptions32 - 52.5-
Anytime touchdown37%probability24.4%book implied

We project Quentin Johnston for 45 receiving yards against SEA, above the 33.5 book line. The likely range runs 23 to 73; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BUFReceiving yards2742.540under
Wk 3BUFReceptions23.53under
Wk 2LVReceiving yards44-7-
Wk 2LVReceptions3-1-
Wk 1ARIReceiving yards514317under
Wk 1ARIReceptions43.5--

Common questions

What is Quentin Johnston's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Quentin Johnston a 37% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SEA. The books price it near 24.4%.
What is Quentin Johnston's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Quentin Johnston for 45 receiving yards (likely range 23 to 73), against a book line of 33.5.
How often has Quentin Johnston gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Quentin Johnston has finished over the book line 0 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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