Jahmyr Gibbs Props & Projections
RB · DET · Week 4 vs CAR
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 78 | 50 - 111 | 96.5 | under |
| Receiving yards | 30 | 16 - 47 | 35.5 | - |
| Receptions | 4 | 2 - 6 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 73.3% | probability | 77.3% | book implied |
We project Jahmyr Gibbs for 78 rushing yards against CAR, below the 96.5 book line. The likely range runs 50 to 111; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NYJ | Rushing yards | 84 | 109.5 | 99 | under |
| Wk 3 | NYJ | Receiving yards | 32 | 48.5 | 65 | over |
| Wk 3 | NYJ | Receptions | 4 | 7.5 | 7 | under |
| Wk 2 | BUF | Rushing yards | 82 | 88.5 | 52 | under |
| Wk 2 | BUF | Receiving yards | 25 | 31 | 61 | over |
| Wk 2 | BUF | Receptions | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | over |
| Wk 1 | NO | Rushing yards | 76 | 84.5 | 156 | over |
| Wk 1 | NO | Receiving yards | 28 | 30.5 | 30 | under |
| Wk 1 | NO | Receptions | 4 | 4.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Jahmyr Gibbs's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jahmyr Gibbs a 73.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CAR. The books price it near 77.3%.
- What is Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Jahmyr Gibbs for 78 rushing yards (likely range 50 to 111), against a book line of 96.5.
- How often has Jahmyr Gibbs gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jahmyr Gibbs has finished over the book line 4 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.