Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Props & Projections

WR · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3918 - 6338.5-
Receptions32 - 43.5-
Anytime touchdown27.8%probability31.3%book implied

We project Courtland Sutton for 39 receiving yards against SF, above the 38.5 book line. The likely range runs 18 to 63; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LAReceiving yards3736.546over
Wk 3LAReceptions33.53under
Wk 2JAXReceiving yards344225under
Wk 2JAXReceptions33.53under
Wk 1KCReceiving yards3241.511under
Wk 1KCReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Courtland Sutton's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Courtland Sutton a 27.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SF. The books price it near 31.3%.
What is Courtland Sutton's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Courtland Sutton for 39 receiving yards (likely range 18 to 63), against a book line of 38.5.
How often has Courtland Sutton gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Courtland Sutton has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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