Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan Props & Projections

WR · CAR · Week 4 vs DET

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards5529 - 8770.5under
Receptions42 - 64.5-
Anytime touchdown31.2%probability39.2%book implied

We project Tetairoa McMillan for 55 receiving yards against DET, below the 70.5 book line. The likely range runs 29 to 87; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CLEReceiving yards4326.517under
Wk 3CLEReceptions32.52under
Wk 2ATLReceiving yards5258.5101over
Wk 2ATLReceptions44.55over
Wk 1CHIReceiving yards5760.575over
Wk 1CHIReceptions44.5--

Common questions

What is Tetairoa McMillan's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tetairoa McMillan a 31.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DET. The books price it near 39.2%.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tetairoa McMillan for 55 receiving yards (likely range 29 to 87), against a book line of 70.5.
How often has Tetairoa McMillan gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tetairoa McMillan has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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