Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Keon Coleman

Keon Coleman Props & Projections

WR · BUF · Week 4 vs NE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2411 - 3812.5over
Receptions21 - 41.5-
Anytime touchdown35.2%probability21.3%book implied

We project Keon Coleman for 24 receiving yards against NE, above the 12.5 book line. The likely range runs 11 to 38; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LACReceiving yards2437.537under
Wk 3LACReceptions31.51under
Wk 2DETReceiving yards1314.563over
Wk 2DETReceptions11.56over
Wk 1HOUReceiving yards2711.51under
Wk 1HOUReceptions31.5--

Common questions

What is Keon Coleman's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Keon Coleman a 35.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 21.3%.
What is Keon Coleman's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Keon Coleman for 24 receiving yards (likely range 11 to 38), against a book line of 12.5.
How often has Keon Coleman gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Keon Coleman has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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