Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Props & Projections

QB · IND · Week 4 vs WAS

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards251177.8 - 322225.5over

We project Daniel Jones for 251 passing yards against WAS, above the 225.5 book line. The likely range runs 177.8 to 322; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3HOUPassing yards224.5218.5235over
Wk 2KCPassing yards223216.5210under
Wk 1BALPassing yards250230.5166under

Common questions

What is Daniel Jones's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Daniel Jones for 251 passing yards (likely range 177.8 to 322), against a book line of 225.5.
How often has Daniel Jones gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Daniel Jones has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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