D'Andre Swift Props & Projections
RB · CHI · Week 4 vs NYJ
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 76 | 49 - 108 | - | - |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 8 - 27 | 13.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 61.3% | probability | 60.6% | book implied |
We project D'Andre Swift for 76 rushing yards against NYJ. The likely range runs 49 to 108; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | PHI | Rushing yards | 72 | 62 | 84 | over |
| Wk 3 | PHI | Receiving yards | 10 | 13 | 4 | under |
| Wk 3 | PHI | Receptions | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | MIN | Rushing yards | 71 | 60.5 | 45 | under |
| Wk 2 | MIN | Receiving yards | 10 | 11.5 | 54 | over |
| Wk 2 | MIN | Receptions | 1 | 1.5 | 5 | over |
| Wk 1 | CAR | Rushing yards | 70 | 59.5 | 124 | over |
| Wk 1 | CAR | Receiving yards | 15 | 13.5 | 10 | under |
| Wk 1 | CAR | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is D'Andre Swift's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give D'Andre Swift a 61.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYJ. The books price it near 60.6%.
- What is D'Andre Swift's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project D'Andre Swift for 76 rushing yards (likely range 49 to 108).
- How often has D'Andre Swift gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, D'Andre Swift has finished over the book line 4 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.