Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Chris Olave

Chris Olave Props & Projections

WR · NO · Week 4 vs ATL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6334 - 10085.5under
Receptions63 - 96.5-
Anytime touchdown36.8%probability46.5%book implied

We project Chris Olave for 63 receiving yards against ATL, below the 85.5 book line. The likely range runs 34 to 100; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LVReceiving yards5076.5107over
Wk 3LVReceptions56.59over
Wk 2BALReceiving yards7372.586over
Wk 2BALReceptions65.58over
Wk 1DETReceiving yards6776.5182over
Wk 1DETReceptions66.5--

Common questions

What is Chris Olave's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Chris Olave a 36.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ATL. The books price it near 46.5%.
What is Chris Olave's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Chris Olave for 63 receiving yards (likely range 34 to 100), against a book line of 85.5.
How often has Chris Olave gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Chris Olave has finished over the book line 5 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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