Ja'Marr Chase Props & Projections
WR · CIN · Week 4 vs JAX
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 73 | 42 - 113 | 81.5 | - |
| Receptions | 7 | 4 - 10 | 6.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 44.2% | probability | 53.5% | book implied |
We project Ja'Marr Chase for 73 receiving yards against JAX, below the 81.5 book line. The likely range runs 42 to 113; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Ja'Marr Chase's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Ja'Marr Chase a 44.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against JAX. The books price it near 53.5%.
- What is Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Ja'Marr Chase for 73 receiving yards (likely range 42 to 113), against a book line of 81.5.
- How often has Ja'Marr Chase gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Ja'Marr Chase has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.