Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
DeMario Douglas

DeMario Douglas Props & Projections

WR · NE · Week 4 vs BUF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2713 - 4527.5-
Receptions21 - 42.5-
Anytime touchdown23.5%probability20.8%book implied

We project DeMario Douglas for 27 receiving yards against BUF, below the 27.5 book line. The likely range runs 13 to 45; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3JAXReceiving yards3429.538over
Wk 3JAXReceptions22.51under
Wk 2PITReceiving yards3736.59under
Wk 2PITReceptions33.51under
Wk 1SEAReceiving yards19-20-
Wk 1SEAReceptions2---

Common questions

What is DeMario Douglas's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give DeMario Douglas a 23.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 20.8%.
What is DeMario Douglas's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project DeMario Douglas for 27 receiving yards (likely range 13 to 45), against a book line of 27.5.
How often has DeMario Douglas gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, DeMario Douglas has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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