Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Props & Projections

QB · LA · Week 4 vs PHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards258181 - 337249.5-

We project Matthew Stafford for 258 passing yards against PHI, above the 249.5 book line. The likely range runs 181 to 337; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3DENPassing yards261237390over
Wk 1SFPassing yards283-155-

Common questions

What is Matthew Stafford's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Matthew Stafford for 258 passing yards (likely range 181 to 337), against a book line of 249.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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