Lamar Jackson Props & Projections
QB · BAL · Week 4 vs TEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 202 | 144 - 259 | 217.5 | - |
| Rushing yards | 23 | 15 - 33 | 31.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 24.5% | probability | 30.8% | book implied |
We project Lamar Jackson for 202 passing yards against TEN, below the 217.5 book line. The likely range runs 144 to 259; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Lamar Jackson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Lamar Jackson a 24.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TEN. The books price it near 30.8%.
- What is Lamar Jackson's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Lamar Jackson for 202 passing yards (likely range 144 to 259), against a book line of 217.5.
- How often has Lamar Jackson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Lamar Jackson has finished over the book line 4 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.