Cole Kmet Props & Projections
TE · CHI · Week 4 vs NYJ
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 15 | 7 - 27 | 9.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 11.7% | probability | 15.4% | book implied |
We project Cole Kmet for 15 receiving yards against NYJ, above the 9.5 book line. The likely range runs 7 to 27; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Cole Kmet's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Cole Kmet a 11.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYJ. The books price it near 15.4%.
- What is Cole Kmet's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Cole Kmet for 15 receiving yards (likely range 7 to 27), against a book line of 9.5.
- How often has Cole Kmet gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Cole Kmet has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.