Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Pat Bryant

Pat Bryant Props & Projections

WR · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards1810 - 3222.5-
Receptions21 - 32.5-
Anytime touchdown8.6%probability21.7%book implied

We project Pat Bryant for 18 receiving yards against SF, below the 22.5 book line. The likely range runs 10 to 32; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LAReceiving yards172644over
Wk 3LAReceptions22.52under
Wk 2JAXReceiving yards28320under
Wk 2JAXReceptions2-0-
Wk 1KCReceiving yards1524.542over
Wk 1KCReceptions12.5--

Common questions

What is Pat Bryant's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Pat Bryant a 8.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SF. The books price it near 21.7%.
What is Pat Bryant's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Pat Bryant for 18 receiving yards (likely range 10 to 32), against a book line of 22.5.
How often has Pat Bryant gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Pat Bryant has finished over the book line 2 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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