Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Props & Projections

WR · TEN · Week 4 vs BAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3718 - 646.5over
Receptions21 - 31.5-
Anytime touchdown7.7%probability7.1%book implied

We project Calvin Ridley for 37 receiving yards against BAL, above the 6.5 book line. The likely range runs 18 to 64; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NYGReceiving yards160.50under
Wk 3NYGReceptions10.50under
Wk 2PHIReceiving yards24-35-
Wk 2PHIReceptions2-2-
Wk 1NYJReceiving yards2227.5--
Wk 1NYJReceptions12.5--

Common questions

What is Calvin Ridley's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Calvin Ridley a 7.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BAL. The books price it near 7.1%.
What is Calvin Ridley's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Calvin Ridley for 37 receiving yards (likely range 18 to 64), against a book line of 6.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring