Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Props & Projections

QB · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards231165 - 300245.5-

We project C.J. Stroud for 231 passing yards against DAL, below the 245.5 book line. The likely range runs 165 to 300; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3INDPassing yards229149.5167over
Wk 2CINPassing yards223233.5353over
Wk 1BUFPassing yards185222.5274over

Common questions

What is C.J. Stroud's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project C.J. Stroud for 231 passing yards (likely range 165 to 300), against a book line of 245.5.
How often has C.J. Stroud gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, C.J. Stroud has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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