Kaelon Black Props & Projections
RB · SF · Week 4 vs DEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime touchdown | 6.8% | probability | 24.4% | book implied |
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Kaelon Black's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Kaelon Black a 6.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DEN. The books price it near 24.4%.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.