Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Props & Projections

RB · WAS · Week 4 vs IND

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards7446 - 10962.5over
Anytime touchdown65.5%probability49.5%book implied

We project Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 74 rushing yards against IND, above the 62.5 book line. The likely range runs 46 to 109; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3SEARushing yards2942.536under
Wk 2DALRushing yards4854.543under
Wk 1PHIRushing yards3639.563over
Wk 1PHIReceiving yards66.5-7under

Common questions

What is Jacory Croskey-Merritt's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jacory Croskey-Merritt a 65.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against IND. The books price it near 49.5%.
What is Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 74 rushing yards (likely range 46 to 109), against a book line of 62.5.
How often has Jacory Croskey-Merritt gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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