Dalton Kincaid Props & Projections
TE · BUF · Week 4 vs NE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 39 | 20 - 61 | 52.5 | under |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 40.9% | probability | 37.7% | book implied |
We project Dalton Kincaid for 39 receiving yards against NE, below the 52.5 book line. The likely range runs 20 to 61; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Dalton Kincaid's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Dalton Kincaid a 40.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 37.7%.
- What is Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Dalton Kincaid for 39 receiving yards (likely range 20 to 61), against a book line of 52.5.
- How often has Dalton Kincaid gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Dalton Kincaid has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.