Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange Props & Projections

TE · JAX · Week 4 vs CIN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3821 - 5934.5-
Receptions32 - 53.5-
Anytime touchdown24.2%probability27.8%book implied

We project Brenton Strange for 38 receiving yards against CIN, above the 34.5 book line. The likely range runs 21 to 59; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NEReceiving yards2929.532over
Wk 3NEReceptions32.53over
Wk 2DENReceiving yards3733.517under
Wk 2DENReceptions33.52under
Wk 1CLEReceiving yards423623under
Wk 1CLEReceptions43.5--

Common questions

What is Brenton Strange's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Brenton Strange a 24.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CIN. The books price it near 27.8%.
What is Brenton Strange's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Brenton Strange for 38 receiving yards (likely range 21 to 59), against a book line of 34.5.
How often has Brenton Strange gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Brenton Strange has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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