Ashton Jeanty Props & Projections
RB · LV · Week 4 vs KC
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 46 | 28 - 71 | 59.5 | under |
| Receiving yards | 16 | 8 - 26 | 21.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 3.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 46.9% | probability | 57.5% | book implied |
We project Ashton Jeanty for 46 rushing yards against KC, below the 59.5 book line. The likely range runs 28 to 71; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NO | Rushing yards | 50 | 68.5 | 56 | under |
| Wk 3 | NO | Receiving yards | 15 | 22.5 | 37 | over |
| Wk 3 | NO | Receptions | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | under |
| Wk 2 | LAC | Rushing yards | 46 | 65.5 | 48 | under |
| Wk 2 | LAC | Receiving yards | 15 | 27.5 | 15 | under |
| Wk 2 | LAC | Receptions | 3 | 4.5 | 4 | under |
| Wk 1 | MIA | Rushing yards | 43 | 59 | 102 | over |
| Wk 1 | MIA | Receiving yards | 16 | 17.5 | 45 | over |
| Wk 1 | MIA | Receptions | 3 | 3.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Ashton Jeanty's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Ashton Jeanty a 46.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against KC. The books price it near 57.5%.
- What is Ashton Jeanty's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Ashton Jeanty for 46 rushing yards (likely range 28 to 71), against a book line of 59.5.
- How often has Ashton Jeanty gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Ashton Jeanty has finished over the book line 3 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.