Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Props & Projections

RB · JAX · Week 4 vs CIN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards4126 - 5820over
Anytime touchdown51.7%probability26%book implied

We project Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 41 rushing yards against CIN, above the 20 book line. The likely range runs 26 to 58; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NERushing yards1620.537over
Wk 2DENRushing yards1824.513under
Wk 1CLERushing yards3637.523under

Common questions

What is Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Chris Rodriguez Jr. a 51.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CIN. The books price it near 26%.
What is Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 41 rushing yards (likely range 26 to 58), against a book line of 20.
How often has Chris Rodriguez Jr. gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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