Kyle Pitts Props & Projections
TE · ATL · Week 4 vs NO
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 40 | 21 - 63 | 28 | over |
| Receptions | 4 | 3 - 6 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 27.7% | probability | 20% | book implied |
We project Kyle Pitts for 40 receiving yards against NO, above the 28 book line. The likely range runs 21 to 63; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Kyle Pitts's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Kyle Pitts a 27.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NO. The books price it near 20%.
- What is Kyle Pitts's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Kyle Pitts for 40 receiving yards (likely range 21 to 63), against a book line of 28.
- How often has Kyle Pitts gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Kyle Pitts has finished over the book line 0 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.