Darren Waller Props & Projections
TE · CAR · Week 4 vs DET
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 22 | 11 - 36 | 27.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 38.6% | probability | 28.2% | book implied |
We project Darren Waller for 22 receiving yards against DET, below the 27.5 book line. The likely range runs 11 to 36; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Darren Waller's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Darren Waller a 38.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DET. The books price it near 28.2%.
- What is Darren Waller's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Darren Waller for 22 receiving yards (likely range 11 to 36), against a book line of 27.5.
- How often has Darren Waller gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Darren Waller has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.