Josh Allen Props & Projections
QB · BUF · Week 4 vs NE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 216 | 154 - 280 | 242.5 | under |
| Rushing yards | 29 | 18 - 42 | 31.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 69.6% | probability | 56.5% | book implied |
We project Josh Allen for 216 passing yards against NE, below the 242.5 book line. The likely range runs 154 to 280; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Josh Allen's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Josh Allen a 69.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 56.5%.
- What is Josh Allen's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Josh Allen for 216 passing yards (likely range 154 to 280), against a book line of 242.5.
- How often has Josh Allen gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Josh Allen has finished over the book line 3 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.