Bijan Robinson Props & Projections
RB · ATL · Week 4 vs NO
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 97 | 62 - 140 | 86.5 | over |
| Receiving yards | 35 | 19 - 56 | 39.5 | - |
| Receptions | 4 | 2 - 6 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 57.2% | probability | 69.7% | book implied |
We project Bijan Robinson for 97 rushing yards against NO, above the 86.5 book line. The likely range runs 62 to 140; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | GB | Rushing yards | 97 | 131.5 | 194 | over |
| Wk 3 | GB | Receiving yards | 56 | 45.5 | 19 | under |
| Wk 3 | GB | Receptions | 6 | 4.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | CAR | Rushing yards | 74 | 82.5 | 72 | under |
| Wk 2 | CAR | Receiving yards | 31 | 41.5 | 9 | under |
| Wk 2 | CAR | Receptions | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | under |
| Wk 1 | PIT | Rushing yards | 66 | 76.5 | 83 | over |
| Wk 1 | PIT | Receiving yards | 37 | 33.5 | 90 | over |
| Wk 1 | PIT | Receptions | 4 | 4.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Bijan Robinson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Bijan Robinson a 57.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NO. The books price it near 69.7%.
- What is Bijan Robinson's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Bijan Robinson for 97 rushing yards (likely range 62 to 140), against a book line of 86.5.
- How often has Bijan Robinson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Bijan Robinson has finished over the book line 3 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.