Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Props & Projections

RB · ARI · Week 4 vs NYG

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards3119 - 4618.5over
Anytime touchdown46.1%probability26.7%book implied

We project Tyler Allgeier for 31 rushing yards against NYG, above the 18.5 book line. The likely range runs 19 to 46; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3SFRushing yards2632.5-1under
Wk 3SFReceiving yards77.510over
Wk 2SEARushing yards2436.510under
Wk 1LACRushing yards2629.561over

Common questions

What is Tyler Allgeier's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tyler Allgeier a 46.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYG. The books price it near 26.7%.
What is Tyler Allgeier's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tyler Allgeier for 31 rushing yards (likely range 19 to 46), against a book line of 18.5.
How often has Tyler Allgeier gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tyler Allgeier has finished over the book line 2 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring