Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Sione Vaki

Sione Vaki Props & Projections

RB · DET · Week 4 vs CAR

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards2213 - 329.5over
Anytime touchdown9.5%probability14.3%book implied

We project Sione Vaki for 22 rushing yards against CAR, above the 9.5 book line. The likely range runs 13 to 32; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NYJRushing yards1026.526under
Wk 2BUFRushing yards77.57under
Wk 1NORushing yards21-7-

Common questions

What is Sione Vaki's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Sione Vaki a 9.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CAR. The books price it near 14.3%.
What is Sione Vaki's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Sione Vaki for 22 rushing yards (likely range 13 to 32), against a book line of 9.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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