Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen Props & Projections

RB · NYJ · Week 4 vs CHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards2515 - 3656.5under
Anytime touchdown9.6%probability46.5%book implied

We project Braelon Allen for 25 rushing yards against CHI, below the 56.5 book line. The likely range runs 15 to 36; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3DETRushing yards1517.514under
Wk 2GBRushing yards2324.57under
Wk 1TENRushing yards1619.540over

Common questions

What is Braelon Allen's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Braelon Allen a 9.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CHI. The books price it near 46.5%.
What is Braelon Allen's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Braelon Allen for 25 rushing yards (likely range 15 to 36), against a book line of 56.5.
How often has Braelon Allen gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Braelon Allen has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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