Javonte Williams Props & Projections
RB · DAL · Week 4 vs HOU
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 104 | 64 - 153 | 60 | over |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 81.3% | probability | 56.9% | book implied |
We project Javonte Williams for 104 rushing yards against HOU, above the 60 book line. The likely range runs 64 to 153; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | BAL | Rushing yards | 45 | 55.5 | 98 | over |
| Wk 3 | BAL | Receiving yards | 15 | 14.5 | 5 | under |
| Wk 3 | BAL | Receptions | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | WAS | Rushing yards | 72 | 74 | 30 | under |
| Wk 2 | WAS | Receiving yards | 9 | 13 | 20 | over |
| Wk 2 | WAS | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | over |
| Wk 1 | NYG | Rushing yards | 72 | 75 | 41 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYG | Receiving yards | 8 | 10.5 | 31 | over |
| Wk 1 | NYG | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Javonte Williams's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Javonte Williams a 81.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against HOU. The books price it near 56.9%.
- What is Javonte Williams's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Javonte Williams for 104 rushing yards (likely range 64 to 153), against a book line of 60.
- How often has Javonte Williams gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Javonte Williams has finished over the book line 4 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.